Straightforward Guidance On Central Factors For
while this might take it to a different level, I'm not sure what the relevance would be to the market," said Peter Boockvar, chief investment strategist at Bleakley Financial Group. The White House said Tuesday that Trump "certainly believes he has the power" to fire Mueller and that the Michael Cohen investigation has "gone too far." A more prolonged period of market turbulence could come if there's an effort to impeach Trump, but Daniel Clifton, head of policy research at Strategas, said that could backfire on Democrats as it did on Republicans when they voted to impeach President Bill Clinton. One of the market's longer-term concerns is for a big Democratic victory in the congressional midterm elections this fall. Clifton said in 1998, impeachment was a big theme during the midterms, but the more the GOP's impeachment efforts moved forward, the more Democratic voters were energized. "The Republicans had a very wide lead in the midterm election in the beginning of 1998. As Clinton ran into problems in July and August, the Republicans started raising impeachment. What was interesting was as Clinton runs into these problems, you see the polling data improve for the Democrats," said Clifton. But still, the period around the 1998 impeachment effort was rocky for stocks. which were also impacted by other factors like the Asian flu, Clifton said. "You can literally take the developments of the special counsel and overlay them with S&P 500," Clifton noted. In October 1998, the House initiated an impeachment inquiry and Clinton was impeached by the House in December 1998 on charges of lying under oath and obstruction. But he was acquitted by the Senate in February. Strategists said the market's response to news Monday that special counsel Mueller had initiated an FBI search of Trump's personal lawyer's office and residence sent stocks reeling and the dollar, already lower, remained under pressure.
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